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Cover of Superforecasting
Publication Year:2015
Original Language:English
Author Nationality:United States

Superforecasting

by Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner

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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed ...

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